The sentiment is surely flattering. Steve Kerrigan, convention planner for the Democratic National Committee, sat coolly before an expectant crowd Tuesday at Central Piedmont Community College and said: "The story of Charlotte is the story we want to tell at this convention."
Flanked by Mayor Anthony Foxx, former Mayor Harvey Gantt, and Dan Murrey, executive director of the Charlotte in 2012 host committee, Kerrigan gushed over the Queen City's remarkable gift for reinvention and resilience and predicted that, during these rough economic times, the world will be inspired by our city's fortitude.
That's not hard to imagine. What's tougher is Kerrigan's prediction of a windfall between $200 and $300 million based on the previous two DNC conventions - Boston in 2004 and Denver in 2008. "The short and long-term benefit of hosting a convention is staggering," he told a standing-room only crowd, many of which were small business owners.
In Denver and Boston, there are some valuable lessons to be learned about sorting hype and hubris from reality. After Beantown's convention, for example, Suffolk University's Beacon Hill Institute released a study called "The Economic Impact of the Democratic National Convention
on the Boston Economy: The Final Tally".
Alas, the report characterized the much-ballyhooed event as having marginal economic impact on the city. While Mayor Thomas Menino predicted that the convention would rake in $154 million, the actual yield was substantially less, the study said.
Among the reasons: normal workday productivity was halted due to road closures, other revenue generating non-DNC events were canceled, and spending among delegates and non-delegates in Boston's restaurants and shops was less than projected as attendees gathered instead at corporate parties and receptions.
In fact, many local businesses wound up saddled with "extra inventory and empty seats and cash registers." In the end, the BHI survey of one hundred local businesses concluded that only 11% reported an expected increase in patronage.
Similarly, while Denver officials calculated that the DNC generated an regional economic benefit of $266 million in direct and indirect spending, and $133.5 million in direct spending in Denver, those estimates didn't fully account for lost or displaced business due to the convention, some business leaders have argued.
Harvey Gantt said it best when he warned the crowd: "Everybody might be excited. But we've got to manage the expectations, too. Some folks will be fortunate enough to get it (a DNC-induced payday), but some of you won't."